China’s target to produce around 3 billion cubic feet per day of shale gas by 2020, while increasing its 1P reserves to 53 trillion cubic feet, has been met with doubt by oil and gas analysts at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co (TPH & Co).
“We remain skeptical on Beijing’s 2020 target given geological/logistical issues and high costs,” analysts said in a research note sent to Rigzone.
“Although estimated to hold vast resources, Chinese shale gas development has been impacted by a combination of complex geology (high degree of faulting), high well costs, water scarcity and a lack of technology/infrastructure,” the analysts said.
The skepticism comes after China’s shale gas production in March reportedly increased by 50 percent year on year to 1.3 Bcfpd, which compares with total Chinese gas production of 15.5 Bcfpd, TPH & Co analysts revealed.
Sinopec has been described as the “clear leader” in the Chinese shale gas business, with the firm already producing from its Fuling asset. Production from its Nanchuan block is expected to start next month.
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